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Stocks
http://archive.theskyiscrape.com/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=79650
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Author:  given2trade [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

broken iris wrote:
given2trade wrote:
broken iris wrote:
The real question is how can we profit from the pending collapse of the commercial real estate sector? Naked puts? It's obviously coming and the big players are too scared to move right now, so us smaller investors have our shot.


You don't have to say "naked puts"; you can just say puts. It's assumed you mean buying them and not writing them.

Most of the commercial REITS have been destroyed. You are a little late to the game.



True, but their are still retail property management firms, like Westfield Group that are bound to drop another 25%-50%.


Trying to squeeze the last drop of juice out of an Orange might not be that risky but doing it shorting stocks can wipe out your bank account.

A stock that's gone from 100 to 5 that you think is worth 0 has the same return from 100 to 0 as 5 to 0. Shorting is not for the faint of heart.

Author:  $úñ_DëV|L [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:30 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

given2trade wrote:
broken iris wrote:
given2trade wrote:
broken iris wrote:
The real question is how can we profit from the pending collapse of the commercial real estate sector? Naked puts? It's obviously coming and the big players are too scared to move right now, so us smaller investors have our shot.


You don't have to say "naked puts"; you can just say puts. It's assumed you mean buying them and not writing them.

Most of the commercial REITS have been destroyed. You are a little late to the game.



True, but their are still retail property management firms, like Westfield Group that are bound to drop another 25%-50%.


Trying to squeeze the last drop of juice out of an Orange might not be that risky but doing it shorting stocks can wipe out your bank account.

A stock that's gone from 100 to 5 that you think is worth 0 has the same return from 100 to 0 as 5 to 0. Shorting is not for the faint of heart.


What about buying at-the-money puts?

Author:  given2trade [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:35 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

$úñ_DëV|L wrote:
given2trade wrote:
broken iris wrote:
given2trade wrote:
broken iris wrote:
The real question is how can we profit from the pending collapse of the commercial real estate sector? Naked puts? It's obviously coming and the big players are too scared to move right now, so us smaller investors have our shot.


You don't have to say "naked puts"; you can just say puts. It's assumed you mean buying them and not writing them.

Most of the commercial REITS have been destroyed. You are a little late to the game.



True, but their are still retail property management firms, like Westfield Group that are bound to drop another 25%-50%.


Trying to squeeze the last drop of juice out of an Orange might not be that risky but doing it shorting stocks can wipe out your bank account.

A stock that's gone from 100 to 5 that you think is worth 0 has the same return from 100 to 0 as 5 to 0. Shorting is not for the faint of heart.


What about buying at-the-money puts?


They are very expensive.

Author:  $úñ_DëV|L [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 10:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

given2trade wrote:
$úñ_DëV|L wrote:
given2trade wrote:
broken iris wrote:
given2trade wrote:
broken iris wrote:
The real question is how can we profit from the pending collapse of the commercial real estate sector? Naked puts? It's obviously coming and the big players are too scared to move right now, so us smaller investors have our shot.


You don't have to say "naked puts"; you can just say puts. It's assumed you mean buying them and not writing them.

Most of the commercial REITS have been destroyed. You are a little late to the game.



True, but their are still retail property management firms, like Westfield Group that are bound to drop another 25%-50%.


Trying to squeeze the last drop of juice out of an Orange might not be that risky but doing it shorting stocks can wipe out your bank account.

A stock that's gone from 100 to 5 that you think is worth 0 has the same return from 100 to 0 as 5 to 0. Shorting is not for the faint of heart.


What about buying at-the-money puts?


They are very expensive.


Sell naked way-out-of-the-money calls?

Author:  given2trade [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 10:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

$úñ_DëV|L wrote:
given2trade wrote:
$úñ_DëV|L wrote:
given2trade wrote:
broken iris wrote:
given2trade wrote:
broken iris wrote:
The real question is how can we profit from the pending collapse of the commercial real estate sector? Naked puts? It's obviously coming and the big players are too scared to move right now, so us smaller investors have our shot.


You don't have to say "naked puts"; you can just say puts. It's assumed you mean buying them and not writing them.

Most of the commercial REITS have been destroyed. You are a little late to the game.



True, but their are still retail property management firms, like Westfield Group that are bound to drop another 25%-50%.


Trying to squeeze the last drop of juice out of an Orange might not be that risky but doing it shorting stocks can wipe out your bank account.

A stock that's gone from 100 to 5 that you think is worth 0 has the same return from 100 to 0 as 5 to 0. Shorting is not for the faint of heart.


What about buying at-the-money puts?


They are very expensive.


Sell naked way-out-of-the-money calls?


Buying put + Selling Call is same thing as shorting the stock. Your example is a cute way of shorting stock but taking on more "tail" risk, ie, if the stock goes up 15-20% you might not lose anything but if it goes up 50% you will be wiped out.

Buying/Selling deep out of the money options in this market is pretty nuts. Vol is so high that the only thing that makes sense is selling them but then you are collecting small premiums for massive tail risk in a very uncertain environment. Good for big banks/diversified institutions; bad for people like us.

Author:  broken iris [ Sat Mar 07, 2009 10:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

given2trade wrote:

Buying put + Selling Call is same thing as shorting the stock. Your example is a cute way of shorting stock but taking on more "tail" risk, ie, if the stock goes up 15-20% you might not lose anything but if it goes up 50% you will be wiped out.

Buying/Selling deep out of the money options in this market is pretty nuts. Vol is so high that the only thing that makes sense is selling them but then you are collecting small premiums for massive tail risk in a very uncertain environment. Good for big banks/diversified institutions; bad for people like us.


After looking into this, I think you are right. This is not a market for noobs like me. Back to oil.

Author:  given2trade [ Mon Oct 12, 2009 5:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

bump for stock tips

Author:  thodoks [ Mon Oct 12, 2009 5:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

True story: I PMed this guy after the fact for hawt stoK tips.

This thread was (is) great, though.

Author:  given2trade [ Mon Oct 12, 2009 5:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

It would have been much better if we didn't scare him off. Who would have thought he'd be so sensitive?

Author:  given2trade [ Tue Nov 01, 2011 3:15 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

MITS5

Last Visited

Mon May 30, 2011 6:32 am

RIP :peace:

The Europe debt crisis has another victim...

Author:  Doug RR [ Tue Nov 01, 2011 3:23 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

given2trade wrote:
MITS5

Last Visited

Mon May 30, 2011 6:32 am

RIP :peace:

The Europe debt crisis has another victim...


my only trick or treaters tonight were day traders

Author:  given2trade [ Tue Nov 01, 2011 4:03 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

Doug RR wrote:
given2trade wrote:
MITS5

Last Visited

Mon May 30, 2011 6:32 am

RIP :peace:

The Europe debt crisis has another victim...


my only trick or treaters tonight were day traders


Did you give them each a share of bank of america?

Author:  Human Bass [ Tue Nov 01, 2011 4:28 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

MF Global is rapin' everybody.

Author:  Electromatic [ Tue Nov 01, 2011 1:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

Human Bass wrote:
MF Global is rapin' everybody.



They're climbing in yo window, snatching your bad debt up....

you better hide yer kids hide yo wife..

Author:  bart d. [ Tue Nov 01, 2011 5:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

The thread starter PM'd me his picks after he stopped posting here. I don't pay much attention to the markets, but I recall he was investing in some company called "Solyndra." Hope everything worked out for him.

Author:  Human Bass [ Tue Nov 01, 2011 5:28 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

bart d. wrote:
The thread starter PM'd me his picks after he stopped posting here. I don't pay much attention to the markets, but I recall he was investing in some company called "Solyndra." Hope everything worked out for him.


Image

Author:  given2trade [ Wed Jul 11, 2012 5:35 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stocks

bump

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