NEWSWEEK:

An Alternate 9/11 History

By staying 'humble,' as he promised in 2000, Bush preserved much of the post-9/11 good will abroad.

By Jonathan Alter

Sept. 18, 2006 issue - Five years after 9/11, the world is surprisingly peaceful. President Bush's pragmatic and bipartisan leadership has kept the United States not just strong but unexpectedly popular across the globe. The president himself is poised to enjoy big GOP wins in the midterm elections, a validation of his subtle understanding of the challenges facing the country. A new survey of historians puts him in the first tier of American presidents.

As Bush warned, catching terrorists wasn't easy, but he kept at it. At the battle of Tora Bora, CIA operatives on the ground cabled Washington that Osama bin Laden was cornered, but they desperately needed troop support. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld immediately dispatched fresh forces, and the evildoer was killed. While bin Laden was seen as a martyr in a few isolated areas, the bulk of the Arab world had been in sympathy with the United States after 9/11 and shed no tears. After their capture, Khalid Shaikh Mohammed and other 9/11 terrorists were transported to the United States, where they were tried and quickly executed.

Today, Al Qaeda remains a threat but its opportunities for recruitment have been scarce, and the involvement of the entire international community has helped dramatically reduce terrorist attacks worldwide. Because Bush believes diplomacy requires talking to adversaries as well as friends, even Syria and Iraq were forced to help. By staying "humble," as he promised in 2000, he preserved much of the post-9/11 good feeling abroad, which paid dividends when it came time to pull together a coalition to handle North Korea and Iran.

At home, some aides suggested that Bush simply tell the nation to "go shopping." But the president knew he had a precious opportunity to ask Americans for real sacrifice. He took John McCain's suggestion and pushed through Congress an ambitious national-service program that bolstered communities and helped train citizens as first responders.

Soon Bush put the country on a Manhattan Project crash course to get off oil. He bluntly told Detroit that it was embarrassing that Chinese automakers had better fuel efficiency, he classified SUVs as cars, and he imposed a stiff gas tax with a rebate for the working poor. To pay for it, he abandoned his tax cuts for the wealthy, reminding the country that no president in history had ever cut taxes in the middle of a war. This president would be damned if he was going to put more oil money into the pockets of Middle Eastern hatemongers who had killed nearly 3,000 of our people. To dramatize the point, he drove to his 2002 State of the Union address in a hybrid car. Sales soared.


When Karl Rove suggested that the war on terror would make a perfect wedge issue against Democrats in the 2002 midterms, Bush brought him up short. Didn't Rove understand that bipartisanship is good politics? Lincoln and FDR had both gone bipartisan during wartime, he reminded his aide. So when evidence of torture at the prison camp in Guantánamo Bay surfaced and Rumsfeld was forced to resign, former Democratic senator Sam Nunn got the job. With post-9/11 unity still at least partially intact in 2004, Bush was re-elected in a landslide.

Taking a cue from Lincoln's impatience with his generals, Bush was merciless about poor performance on homeland security. When the head of the FBI couldn't fix the bureau's computers in a year's time to "connect the dots," he was out. And Bush had no patience for excuse-making about leaky port security, unsecured chemical plants and first responders whose radios didn't communicate. If someone had told him that five years after 9/11 these problems would still be unsolved, Bush would have laughed him out of the office.


In 2003, Vice President Cheney advised the president to take out Iraq's Saddam Hussein militarily. But Bush was beginning to understand that his veep, while sounding full of gravitas, was in fact reckless. When it became clear that Saddam posed no imminent threat, Bush resolved to neuter him, Kaddafi style. When the president found, after a little asking around, that the 10-year cost of invading Iraq would be a crushing $1.2 trillion, he opted out of this war of choice.

Five years after that awful September day, even Bush's fiercest critics have learned an important lesson: leadership counts. Imagine if we'd done the opposite of these things. This country—and the world—would be in a heap of trouble.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/14753927/site/newsweek/

Bravo. I'd like to see some comments on this one.

*crickets*

The thing is, I can actually imagine all of that happening. Fucking sad really.

I love alternate history, but this one isn't exactly realistic.

How about one where Gore wins the election?

Right-wingers would never let the same analysis be taken seriously, because it would just be "Bush-bashing". When written with Bush being the possible hero, everyone can see how much he fucked things up by looking at how he's failed at every opportunity to succeed. It's not just saying "Bush is a failure, and Gore would have succeeded".

Wow, thanks for posting that cordoroy_11. It is interesting to think about things being different. While we cannot change what has happened, it is important that whomever inherits the situation in 2009 (from either party) examines the past and make the best choices with regard to our future course.

It was especially fascinating to read a scenario in which President Bush is more headstrong, independent, and powerful as a leader (i.e., being able to break from cronyism, partisan politics, and beltway insiders). And the author is correct to point out past presidents who were fiercely independent (enough to know when to change course, cross the isle, and reprimand their own) such as Lincoln and FDR, were some of our finest leaders. There is evidence to assume the same (though not nearly to the same extent as the afore mentioned leaders) occurred with Reagan and the then-forming neoconservative crowd within his own party. He was in many ways his own man, not to the extent of others before him, but certainly more than those most recent. I would have liked to see a little more Lincoln, FDR, and Reagan in President Bush and little less of the old Washington DC insider clique of Cheney, Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz, and others. I think the President was and is capable of being that man, but either did not have the drive nor the nerve to do it. Its a risk to break away from the pack and strike out on your own, but we should expect our leaders to be leaders and not to shy away from the tough decisions. I wish that scenario would have been reality.

Great article and thanks!

Nice idea that Osama could have been captured with hardly any wars, but not gonna happen. He's too well protected for that and sadly, to get to the room, you've gotta smash down the door.

Somehow, I don't see Bush being perceived as a hero by the right-wingers in this one.

Exactly.

Alter is working in hypotheticals. But then again one can understand how something like this would gain traction because the majority of people have already declared the War in Iraq to be "lost." Unbelievable.

But do you deny that the administration is a failure?

I'm not saying the Bush Administration has done everything right...it hasn't. What grates on my nerves is when people hold the belief that the Administration neither has nor is capable of doing anything right.

Is it a failure? That will be for history to judge.