Post subject: 2011 MLB Player Statistical Predictions
Posted: Sat Apr 02, 2011 7:28 am
Ghostasauros
Joined: Sat Jun 11, 2005 10:51 pm Posts: 1251 Location: St. Paul - Minneapolis Gender: Male
For some reason I decided it would be a fun (but extremely time consuming!) exercise to go through every MLB team, study their roster, and make semi-educated predictions on how the players will perform during the 2011 season. I have completed a large portion of this task and I am proud to release my predictions to you in groups based on each division. The first group will be the American League East. I hope you enjoy this installment, and I look forward to the next group. Until then... I give you the AL EAST.
Last edited by PHATJ on Sat Apr 02, 2011 3:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
I'll just comment on the team I know best: my gut tells me Snider is going to have a bigger breakout than that and hit 25+ homeruns with a higher average. I also see Bautista being a bit closer to last years numbers (40+ hr and 100+ rbi) and Lind will be closer to his 2009 numbers. I definitely think they're pretty good predictions though.
I do, however, think the pitcher projections are quite a bit off. It's probably just because I obviously think the Jays are better than you do, but I think the win/loss totals will look a lot better than that.
_________________ I think we relinquished enough... and it's still dark enough... and it goes on and on and on...
I'll just comment on the team I know best: my gut tells me Snider is going to have a bigger breakout than that and hit 25+ homeruns with a higher average. I also see Bautista being a bit closer to last years numbers (40+ hr and 100+ rbi) and Lind will be closer to his 2009 numbers. I definitely think they're pretty good predictions though.
I do, however, think the pitcher projections are quite a bit off. It's probably just because I obviously think the Jays are better than you do, but I think the win/loss totals will look a lot better than that.
Thanks for the comment. I think it is definitely possible for each of those players to do what you predict, I just think it is more likely that they will progress towards their average. That's why it is an average after all. And as for the pitching, I think the main difference in our opinion is just as you stated. I see the Blue Jays as a 4th or 5th place team in the east, but if they win more then I predict then those W/L totals will obviously reflect that.
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